Wheat Demand: Why Bread Needs Defending
Bread remains a cornerstone of the American food system, but declining consumption and changing consumer attitudes could have consequences all the way back to the wheat farm.
Josh Sosland, president of Sosland Publishing Company and editor of Milling & Baking News, joins Aaron Harries and Justin Gilpin to examine what more than a century of milling and baking history says about today’s wheat-demand challenge. They discuss declining bread consumption, consumer misinformation, GLP-1 medications, the MAHA movement, the unsuccessful Bread Basket Checkoff effort and why Sosland believes science alone won't be enough to change consumer behavior. The conversation also explores whether Kansas wheat promotion should put greater emphasis on domestic demand alongside traditional export-market development.
Key takeaways:
Declining bread consumption isn't new, but recent trends have made the challenge more concerning.
Research can counter misinformation about grain foods, but changing consumer behavior also requires emotional connection.
Meaningful consumer promotion requires resources on a much larger scale than many current efforts.
Domestic wheat demand has traditionally been viewed as static, while grower promotion concentrated heavily on export growth.
Changing global competition and more specialized domestic markets could create new opportunities for Kansas wheat producers.
Detailed Timestamped Rundown
00:00 — Why bread consumption matters
00:40 — Introducing Josh Sosland
Milling & Baking News.
01:08 — A century of milling and baking journalism
Southwestern Miller. The publication emerged as commercial baking expanded and Southwestern millers sought recognition for the bread-making quality of Kansas and Southern Plains wheat.
03:43 — Hard red winter wheat's rise
04:15 — The Great Grain Robbery
05:06 — Secret Soviet purchases and inflation
07:09 — “John Smith” and an industry scoop
08:19 — Sosland Publishing today
World Grain, Bake, Baking & Snack, Pet Food Processing, Milling & Baking News and Food Business News.
09:06 — Print versus digital publishing
09:48 — Bread consumption's century-old problem
10:59 — Why today's numbers are different
11:33 — What happened to the Bread Basket Checkoff?
14:03 — What wheat lost without the checkoff
15:32 — Different boats, same rough water
16:16 — GLP-1 medications enter the equation
17:44 — Winning minds versus winning hearts
18:37 — Why facts aren't enough
21:17 — The scale of investment required
22:33 — What successful promotion looks like
23:34 — Grapefruit as a warning
24:05 — MAHA and ultra-processed foods
25:44 — Consumers still love wheat foods
26:40 — Should growers rethink promotion spending?
26:59 — Why wheat invested overseas
28:00 — New opportunities in domestic wheat
30:36 — The wheat marketplace has changed
31:28 — Why Kansas invested in exports
32:43 — Closing thoughts
Kansas Wheat
WheatsOnYorMind.com