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Under Pressure: The Size and Timing of the Harvest Low in Corn Basis

Friday, September 18, 2026 • 2 PM

As combines roll across the US Corn Belt, commodity market analysis often attributes any observed decrease in crop prices to the phenomenon of ‘harvest pressure’. Abundant supply at harvest means farmers are willing sellers and grain buyers less aggressive bidders in the market for immediate delivery. Basis, the price difference between the local spot and nearby futures prices, weakens as new-crop corn fills bins and country elevators, then recovers as harvest pressure eases.

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